You are here

Central banks are intervening in currency markets all over the place

Section: Daily Dispatches

Gold probably as well, but the Financial Times could never, ever ask about that.

* * *

Emerging Markets Try to Steady Currencies

By Stefan Wagstyl
Financial Times, London
Sunday, September 25, 2011

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/91057f04-e609-11e0-960c-00144feabdc0.html

The South Korean central bank surprised the markets on Friday with a $4 billion lightning intervention in support of the won, carried out in the last two minutes of trading,

The day before, Brazil spent $2.75 billion selling dollars in the currency swaps market to stop the rapid decline of the real.

Does this mean central banks in emerging markets are finally trying to reverse the sharp plunge in their currencies over the past month?

Probably not, currency strategists believe. Officials are primarily aiming to curb what they see as excessively wild swings in their currencies. They want stability, not appreciation.

... Dispatch continues below ...



ADVERTISEMENT

Prophecy Platinum Drills 49.5 Meters Grading 1.27 g/t PGM+Au at Yukon Wellgreen Project

Company Press Release
August 22, 2011

Prophecy Platinum Corp. (TSX-V: NKL, OTC-QX: PNIKF, Frankfurt: P94P) announces results from its 2011 drilling program for its first completed hole on the Wellgreen Project in the Yukon Territory, Canada.

Borehole WS11-184 encountered 472.6 meters of mineralization grading 0.43% nickel equivalent from surface to the footwall contact. Within this larger swath of mineralization the hole encountered 49.5 meters of 1.27 grams per ton platinum group metals plus gold, 0.71% nickel, and 0.45% copper (or 1.11% nickel equivalent).

The geology transitioned from blebby disseminated to net-textured to massive sulphide approaching the footwall contact grading 6.3% nickel, 1.7% copper, 2.7 grams per ton platinum, 1.6 grams per ton palladium, 0.17 grams per ton gold, and 3.4 grams per ton silver. The drilling zones and results are tabulated here, with more information:

http://www.prophecyplat.com/news_2011_aug22_prophecy_platinum_wellgreen_...



The best evidence is that the amounts of money involved are not great. While emerging market central banks last week spent more than $7 billion in support operations, few outside Korea and Brazil deployed very much. Taiwan, for example, spent $300 million, Indonesia disbursed Rp 1,740 billion ($196 million) buying government bonds, and Peru spent $181 million supporting the sol. Turkey put $300 million into the lira.

They were nudging investors, not trying to frighten them into reversing the recent currency declines. For comparison, the Bank of England, admittedly operating in a much larger market, spent L27 billion in its futile 1992 defence of sterling.

By the end of Friday, the won was still down 4.7 per cent on the week, the Brazilian real 8.6 per cent, and the Turkish lira by 3.6 per cent.

Emerging market officials are not unhappy with the results, however much they might condemn the danger of currency wars, as Brazil's president Dilma Rousseff did in the Financial Times this week.

Emerging nations fear the global economy is slowing fast, with a risk of further shocks if the eurozone fails to resolve its crisis. Guido Mantega, Brazil's finance minister, said in an FT interview that he was satisfied with the real's current level (16 per cent down in a month). "The real is today at R$1.85" to the dollar. "There's nothing to be done."

Other countries are more cautious but the sentiment is widespread, not least in export-dependent Asian and eastern European economies. Officials recall that those countries that suffered most in 2008-9 were those with fixed exchange rates; those that allowed their currencies to fall, such as Poland, rode the recession by promoting exports and reducing imports.

Zaheer Imran Ahmad, a strategist at RBS, said: "Central banks are more tolerant of currency weakness now because of what happened after Lehman."

But is there an exception. Countries with heavy external borrowings cannot afford too much currency depreciation because it will increase the repayment burden. The dangers are especially serious for small export-oriented economies open to capital inflows. Korea is a case in point, with a ratio of external debt to gross domestic product of 43 per cent. In eastern Europe, Hungary on 174 per cent is very exposed.

Big tests lie ahead. With world markets still in turmoil, commodity prices are very volatile. The impact on many emerging economies, both exporters and importers of natural resources, will be more dramatic than on the developed world. Currencies are certain to respond.

* * *

Join GATA here:

The Silver Summit
Thursday-Friday, October 20-21, 2011
Davenport Hotel, Spokane, Washington

http://cambridgehouse.com/conference-details/the-silver-summit-2011/48

New Orleans Investment Conference
Wednesday-Saturday, October 26-29, 2011
Hilton New Orelans Riverside Hotel

http://www.neworleansconference.com/

Support GATA by purchasing gold and silver commemorative coins:

https://www.amsterdamgold.eu/gata/index.asp?BiD=12

Or by purchasing a colorful GATA T-shirt:

http://gata.org/tshirts

Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009:

http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal

Or a video disc of GATA's 2005 Gold Rush 21 conference in the Yukon:

http://www.goldrush21.com/

Help keep GATA going

GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at:

http://www.gata.org

To contribute to GATA, please visit:

http://www.gata.org/node/16



ADVERTISEMENT

Sona Drills 85.4g Gold/Ton Over 4 Metres at Elizabeth Gold Deposit,
Extending the Mineralization of the Southwest Vein on the Property

Company Press Release, October 27, 2010

VANCOUVER, British Columbia -- Sona Resources Corp. reports on five drillling holes in the third round of assay results from the recently completed drill program at its 100 percent-owned Elizabeth Gold Deposit Property in the Lillooet Mining District of southern British Columbia. Highlights from the diamond drilling include:

-- Hole E10-66 intersected 17.4g gold/ton over 1.54 metres.

-- Hole E10-67 intersected 96.4g gold/ton over 2.5 metres, including one assay interval of 383g of gold/ton over 0.5 metres.

-- Hole E10-69 intersected 85.4g gold/ton over 4.03 metres, including one assay interval of 230g gold/ton over 1 metre.

Four drill holes, E10-66 to E10-69, targeted the southwestern end of the Southwest Vein, and three of the holes have expanded the mineralized zone in that direction. The Southwest Vein gold mineralization has now been intersected over a strike length of 325 metres, with the deepest hole drilled less than 200 metres from surface.

"The assay results from the Southwest Zone quartz vein continue to be extremely positive," says John P. Thompson, Sona's president and CEO. "We are expanding the Southwest Vein, and this high-grade gold mineralization remains wide open down dip and along strike to the southwest."

For the company's full press release, please visit:

http://sonaresources.com/_resources/news/SONA_NR19_2010.pdf