Denmark may be first to try a decade of negative interest rates


By Nick Rigillo
Bloomberg News
Tuesday, January 8, 2019

The world's longest experiment with negative interest rates may end up lasting an entire decade.

Not until 2021 at the earliest will Danes have a chance to see positive rates again, according to Danske Bank. The country's policy rate first dropped below zero in 2012.

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Danske Bank senior analyst Jens Naervig Pedersen says last year's pattern of krone depreciation, which had some economists predicting rate hikes, won't continue. In fact, he expects the Danish currency to appreciate in 2019. And with the central bank's sole purpose being to defend the krone's peg to the euro, a stronger exchange rate makes monetary tightening in Denmark less likely.

Nowhere else have people lived with negative interest rates as long as in AAA-rated Denmark. The policy has protected the currency peg, but it has also turbo-charged the mortgage market and pushed those trying to save money into riskier assets. Meanwhile banks have done a bit less traditional lending and a lot more wealth management. ...

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