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Jan Nieuwenhuijs: Gold held up well in September against rising real rates

Section: Daily Dispatches

By Jan Nieuwenhuijs
Gainesville Coins, Lutz, Florida
Tuesday, October 3, 2023

Despite the gold price declining for several months, its performance is extremely strong considering sharply rising real interest rates. To measure gold’s performance against real rates (TIPS yield) I’m introducing the “Gold Price–TIPS Model Tracker” to improve our understanding of how the gold price is set and its future potential.

... Dispatch continues below ...


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As we have discussed repeatedly on these pages, the gold price has been set by Western institutional money for nearly a century, and from 2006 through February 2022 there was a tight inverse correlation between the price of gold and the yield of 10-year Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS), which reflect real interest rates.

Then, early 2022, things started to change. ...

... For the remainder of the analysis:

https://www.gainesvillecoins.com/blog/gold-held-up-extremely-well-in-september-relative-to-rising-real-rates

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