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Ted Butler says gold and silver plunge likely over; and a silver price contest

Section: Daily Dispatches

By John Brinsley
Bloomberg News Service
Wednesday, January 19, 2005

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?
pid=10000101&sid=aE7OzCfe1L2w&refer=japan

TOKYO -- The dollar traded near a two-month high
against the euro in Asia as a Treasury Department
report showed international investors increased
buying of U.S. assets.

The U.S. currency also drew support from comments
from several Federal Reserve officials who said
interest rates are likely to rise further this year
to keep inflation in check.

"The strong Treasury report should lead to more
support for the U.S. dollar," said David Mozina, a
currency strategist in Sydney at ABN Amro Holdings
NV. "Fed official comments also lend near-term
support. The dollar buying interest isn't going away
any time soon."

Against the euro, the dollar traded at $1.3013 at 8:30
a.m. in Tokyo, from $1.3019 late yesterday in New
York, according to currency-trading system EBS. It
was at 102.21 yen, from 102.27 yen. The dollar
yesterday rose as far as $1.2995 per euro, the
highest since Nov. 23. It may advance above $1.29
this week, Mozina said.

Foreigners in November bought a net $81.0 billion of
assets, including $14.5 billion in stocks, about seven
times the average of the previous 12 months. The
report diminished concern that the dollar will extend
last year's decline due to record trade and
current-account deficits in the U.S.

"This is quite encouraging for the dollar, especially
after last week's trade numbers," Rizwan Din, a currency
strategist at Barclays Capital, said in London. "U.S.
assets aren't yet so unattractive for foreigners. The
current account is significant, but it doesn't mean we'll
have a sudden sharp correction in the dollar."

Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Anthony
Santomero said the central bank may consider
"quickening" the pace of interest-rate increases if
inflation warrants. He was speaking to the Greater
Philadelphia Chamber of Commerce.

Cleveland Fed President Sandra Pianalto said in a
speech in Pittsburgh that "it is prudent to move the
federal funds rate up to a position that gives me more
confidence that monetary policy is no longer
accommodative." Fed Governor Susan Bies speaks
later.

Fed policy makers lifted their target for overnight loans
between banks five times last year, to 2.25 percent
from 1 percent. The European Central Bank has left
its key rate unchanged at 2 percent since June 2003.

A government report today is expected to show
consumer prices were unchanged last month, after
rising 0.2 percent in November, based on the median
of 71 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey.

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