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Gold gains as central banks stock up

Section: Daily Dispatches

'Stock up'? 'Stop dishoarding' is more like it.

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By Javier Blas
Financial Times, London
Tuesday, September 14, 2010

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f99f518a-c025-11df-b77d-00144feab49a.html

Gold prices have pushed to a fresh record amid forecasts that central banks will be net buyers of bullion this year for the first time in two decades, the clearest sign of the rehabilitation of bullion after the financial crisis.

The shift marks a turnround after heavy disposals by European central banks over the past 10 years, when gold was seen as a non-yielding unattractive asset. Monetary institutions then swapped their bullion for yielding sovereign debt.

... Dispatch continues below ...



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GFMS, the consultancy that compiles benchmark statistics for gold, said that central banks would buy about 15 tonnes of bullion on a net basis this year, a situation last seen in 1988. The swing comes on the back of buying by Russia and several Asia-based central banks and the collapse of sales in Europe.

The shift in central banks' attitude toward gold, coupled with renewed US dollar weakness on Tuesday, propelled gold prices to a fresh nominal high of $1,274.75 a troy ounce, up nearly 2 per cent on the day. Gold prices have risen about 15 per cent since January, boosted by worries about sovereign risks. Adjusted for inflation, gold prices are, however, still a long way from their all-time high above $2,300 in 1980 reached during the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan.

Philip Klapwijk, GFMS chairman, said gold prices could set fresh highs in the near term, trading above $1,300 an ounce, on the back of uncertainty about the global economy and concerns about high levels of debt in developed countries.

China, India, Saudi Arabia, and other countries have announced large additions of gold to their reserves since the start of the financial crisis in 2008, providing a psychological boost to bullion.

The consultancy said that even if current net buying by central banks remains relatively low, the shift is an important departure from the past decade, when central banks sold on average 442 tonnes of gold per year, equal to about 10 per cent of total bullion demand.

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