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Fed rates at 0% expected within months amid global bond frenzy
By Stephen Spratt, Ruth Carson, and Dana El Baltaji
Sunday, March 8, 2020
The entire U.S. yield curve fell below 1% for the first time in history as rising expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut policy rates to zero in the coming months drove investors to reach for longer-dated securities.
Traders are pricing in about 80 basis points of cuts in March and 100 basis points by July, which would drag borrowing costs down to zero. Those bets fueled a rally in U.S. Treasuries, with the rate on 30-year bonds diving as much as 59 basis points. Benchmark U.K. bond yields tumbled below zero for the first time, and Germany's two-year bonds and rates in Australia and New Zealand fell to new lows.
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The latest frenzy in markets, spurred by concerns over an oil price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia, prompted the New York Fed to say it will boost the size of this week's overnight and term repo operations to ensure reserves are ample and reduce the risk of pressures in money markets. ...
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