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Ambrose Evans-Pritchard: Rejoice, for we may be close to Fed capitulation

Section: Daily Dispatches

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
The Telegraph, London
Tuesday, October 11, 2022

Warnings about monetary overkill by central banks are growing louder. This time the insurgency is coming from within America's New Keynesian elite.

That matters. It suggests that the Federal Reserve may be closer to a blissful "policy pivot" than markets think. The moment that investors discern signs of any such Fed capitulation, there will be a massive bear-trap rally in battered global equities -- at least until the bulls are hit by the oncoming steam-train of deflating profits.

... Dispatch continues below ...


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Guanajuato Silver Production Up 85% from July to August

Company Announcement
Tuesday, October 4, 2022

VANCOUVER,  British Columbia, Canada – Guanajuato Silver Co. Ltd. (TSXV:GSVR; OTCQX:GSVRF) is pleased to provide an operations update highlighting the impact of additional production from the company's recently acquired Topia and San Ignacio mines:

-- 267,525 ounces of silver equivalent (AgEq) produced in August 2022; up 122,864 AgEq ounces or 85% from July, which only included production from El Cubo.

-- Cash costs per AgEq ounce continue to decline at El Cubo with July costs declining to $12.85; costs also remain in-line with expectations Companywide at $15.09 in August.

-- Silver and gold recoveries for August were 88.9% and 85.6% respectively.

The company anticipates ending the year at a run rate of approximately 3.4M AgEq ounces per annum.

James Anderson, chairman and CEO said: "Within one week of closing our latest Mexican mines acquisition we had initiated mining of silver-rich material from San Ignacio and began transporting this material to El Cubo for processing. This rapid restart again highlights our team's ability to swiftly and successfully restart mines and move them toward full production. In addition, production of silver-lead-zinc concentrates from our Topia mine in the Durango state continued uninterrupted through our integration process. Rrefinements at both the Topia mine and plant have been initiated with planned improvements expected in the months ahead." ...

... For the remainder of the announcement:

https://www.gsilver.com/news/2022c/821-guanajuato-silver-production-increases-85-from-july-to-august


Episodes of Fed tightening are often brutal for the rest of the world. This one is especially ferocious. The broad dollar index is at an epic high, which means slow torture for emerging and frontier markets with $4.2 trillion of debt denominated in dollars. There is $13.4 trillion of offshore dollar debt outside U.S. jurisdiction (BIS data) with no clear lender-of-last-resort. South Korea is already having to approach the Fed for dollar swap lines. 

Borrowers are being hit by the double shock of both the higher dollar and surging dollar loan-rates. Some of this debt must be rolled over on the three-month lending markets, with a rising risk premium for good measure. ...

... For the remainder of the report:

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/10/11/rejoice-may-close-fed-capitulation/

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