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Alasdair Macleod: The eurozone is the greatest danger
By Alasdair Macleod
GoldMoney.com, St. Helier, Jersey, Channel Islands
Thursday, May 19, 2016
Worldwide, markets are horribly distorted, which spells danger not only to investors, but to businesses and their employees as well, because it is impossible to allocate capital efficiently in this financial environment.
With markets everywhere disrupted by interventions from central banks, governments, and their sovereign wealth funds, economic progress is being badly hampered, and therefore so is the ability of anyone to earn the profits required to pay down the highs levels of debt we see today. Money that is invested in bonds and deposited in banks may already be on the way to money heaven, without complacent investors and depositors realizing it.
It should become clear in the coming weeks that price inflation in the dollar, and therefore the currencies that align with it, will exceed the Fed's 2 percent target by a significant amount by the end of this year. This is because falling commodity prices last year, which subdued price inflation to under 1 percent, will be replaced by rising commodity prices this year. That being the case, CPI inflation should pick up significantly in the coming months, already reflected in the most recent estimate of core price inflation in the US, which exceeded 2 percent. Therefore, interest rates should rise far more than the small amount the market has already factored into current price levels. ...
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